ZRG Insights
< View all
<
The Smartest People In The Room®

The next CEO may come from HR

The next CEO may come from HR

What if the executive most prepared to lead the next generation of companies is the CHRO?

3
min.
read

For decades, the path to the CEO seat has been relatively predictable. Boards typically looked for executives with deep operational, financial, or commercial experience. The most common successors came from the P&L side of the business or the CFO chair because those roles were viewed as the strongest preparation for leading an enterprise. In a world where growth was driven by expansion, operational excellence, and capital allocation, that logic made sense.

Today, however, many of the most significant business challenges facing organizations have far less to do with capital and far more to do with people.

AI adoption is forcing companies to rethink how work gets done. Organizations are struggling to improve productivity while retaining engagement. Leaders are redesigning operating models, confronting skills shortages, managing workforce transformation, and building succession plans in an environment where business conditions can change dramatically in a matter of months. These are no longer HR challenges that sit adjacent to business strategy. They are business strategy.

That shift raises an interesting question: What if the executive most prepared to lead the next generation of companies is not the CFO, COO, or division president? What if it is the CHRO?

Leadership’s center of gravity shifted

Historically, HR was viewed as a support function. While influential leaders certainly emerged from the profession, the role was largely focused on enabling the business rather than shaping it.

That distinction is beginning to disappear.

Organizations have spent the last several years investing heavily in AI, automation, and digital transformation. Yet many are discovering that technology is not the primary challenge. The harder challenge is helping people adapt to it. Companies can buy software. They cannot purchase trust, leadership capability, organizational resilience, or a workforce prepared for change.

As a result, many of the responsibilities that are becoming most critical to enterprise success now sit within the CHRO's sphere of influence. Workforce planning, organizational design, leadership development, succession, culture, capability building, and the workforce implications of AI increasingly determine whether strategy succeeds or fails. Recent research from Accenture argues that CHROs are becoming architects of enterprise value, responsible not only for workforce issues but for helping reshape how organizations operate and create value.

The future of work is the future of business

One of the most significant shifts occurring inside organizations is the movement away from managing headcount and toward managing capability.

For years, workforce planning was largely concerned with how many people an organization needed. Today, leading companies are asking very different questions. Which skills will become essential? Which jobs will change? Which work can be automated? What leadership capabilities will matter most in five years? How should work be distributed between people and technology?

These decisions directly affect growth, profitability, innovation, and competitiveness. They cannot be delegated to a support function because they are increasingly central to how value is created.

That reality has elevated the CHRO's role. Gartner's research shows that workforce redesign in the human-machine era, leadership readiness, and AI-driven transformation now rank among the highest priorities for HR leaders. The role is becoming less about managing people and more about helping define how the organization itself evolves.

Boards see talent differently

The shift is also visible in boardrooms.

For decades, boards viewed talent as an important governance topic. Increasingly, they are treating it as a business-critical risk issue. Leadership quality, succession readiness, organizational capability, and workforce resilience are now viewed as significant determinants of long-term value creation.

According to research cited by governance experts, nearly three-quarters of directors now discuss talent management at every board meeting. This reflects a growing recognition that human capital may be one of the few sustainable competitive advantages that cannot be easily replicated.

A competitor can acquire technology. It can raise capital. It can copy a product. Building a leadership bench, creating a culture that adapts to change, and developing an organization capable of executing strategy over the long term is much harder.

The executive closest to those issues is often the CHRO.

A new model for the CEO

None of this suggests that finance, operations, or commercial leadership will become less important. Those capabilities remain fundamental to leading an enterprise.

What may change is how boards define executive readiness.

Historically, CEO candidates were often evaluated based on operational experience, financial acumen, and management scale. Those criteria will remain important, but organizations may begin placing greater emphasis on an executive's ability to lead transformation, redesign organizations, build leadership pipelines, navigate workforce disruption, and manage change at scale.

In other words, the future CEO will look less like a finance operator and more like a workforce architect.

The most effective CHROs are already sit at the intersection of strategy and execution. They help shape leadership teams, guide succession decisions, redesign organizations, and increasingly serve as advisors to CEOs and boards on some of the most consequential issues facing the enterprise.

That does not mean every CHRO should become a CEO. But it does suggest that organizations risk overlooking a leadership pool that looks increasingly aligned with the demands of the future.

For years, boards have asked whether a CFO could become CEO.

The more interesting question is whether the next great CEO is sitting in the CHRO chair today.

Meet the Author

Click a location marker
to learn more

GLOBAL SCALE. BOUTIQUE FEEL.

We are in the markets that matter, but we show up like we’re part of your team. Hands-on, high-touch, and built around your goals.